Attribution assigns credit using rules. Incrementality asks a different question: what would have happened without the spend. No modelling of observed data answers that, however sophisticated the interface, because the shopper who would have bought anyway looks identical to the one who was persuaded.
The way to get closer is to test. Hold spend flat for a defined period, then pause or step up one channel, ideally in a region or audience you can isolate, and watch total orders and new customer orders rather than attributed ones. Geographic holdouts, staggered starts and clean before-and-after periods are blunt instruments, and still more informative than a model.
Use attribution reporting to allocate day to day and to spot direction changes early. Use tests, blended efficiency and contribution margin to decide the big questions, such as whether a channel earns its place at all. Tools that report a range and show their method are easier to reason with than tools that produce one confident number.